Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.08K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $59.85K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$195

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $13.3K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$291.79

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $950.97
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $710.99

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 12:32 AM

PnL: $348.21
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $54.81
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $10.26

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $52.4
Potential payout: $65.71
Potential profit: $13.31
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.89

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $334.28
Volume: $11.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $546.04
Potential payout: $563.51
Potential profit: $17.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.49

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $533.13
Potential payout: $535
Potential profit: $1.87
User PnL: $33.38

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $325.69
Volume: $7K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $308.06
Volume: $31.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $131.21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $152.58

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $13.3K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$291.79

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $306.45
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $295.79
Volume: $302.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $181.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.5

If you invest $100 $110.19 back +$10.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $145.49
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $154.49
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$16.5

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $295.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $167.6
Potential payout: $193.76
Potential profit: $26.16
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $35.37

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Mbappe position

World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $154.64
Potential payout: $162.95
Potential profit: $8.31
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.32

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $288.51
Volume: $6.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $651
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $621.45
Potential payout: $625.52
Potential profit: $4.07
User PnL: $2.77

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $288.11
Volume: $5.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $98.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $59.1

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $46.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $29.86

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.35
Volume: $6.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $300.02
Potential profit: $280.52
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.15

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $20.28
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.62

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $275.25
Volume: $8.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.58
Potential payout: $49.9
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $46.46

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.28
Potential payout: $49.58
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $47.12

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $274.76
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $131.21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $152.58

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $13.3K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$291.79

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $950.97
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $710.99

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $651
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $546.04
Potential payout: $563.51
Potential profit: $17.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.49

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $181.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.5

If you invest $100 $110.19 back +$10.19 estimated profit if it wins

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