Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $708.02 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $13.3K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$291.79

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36.1%
Current value: $162.29
Potential payout: $449.57
Potential profit: $287.28
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $76.61

If you invest $100 $277.01 back +$177.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $167.93
Potential payout: $353.53
Potential profit: $185.6
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:24 PM

PnL: $79.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $167.93
Potential payout: $353.53
Potential profit: $185.6
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $164.73
Potential payout: $316.49
Potential profit: $151.76
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $105.01

If you invest $100 $192.12 back +$92.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $77.95
Volume: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $46.69
Potential payout: $405.96
Potential profit: $359.27
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$153.8

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $43.41
Potential payout: $413.4
Potential profit: $369.99
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$21.33

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $72.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $10.82
User PnL: $171.42

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $425.15
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$224.17

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $72.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$1.83K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$190

PnL: $72.27
Volume: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $113.62
Potential payout: $114.54
Potential profit: $0.92
User PnL: $2.92

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $110.27
Potential payout: $120.52
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.04

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $71.87
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $42.79
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $31.14

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $5.67
User PnL: $43.44

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $71.34
Volume: $159.39
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $63.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $133.14
Potential payout: $206.42
Potential profit: $73.28
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$23.74

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$50

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $63.44
Volume: $25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $623.02
Potential payout: $625.52
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $597.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $2.4
User PnL: $15.3

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $63.15
Volume: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $297.43
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: $4.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $295.6
Potential payout: $300.25
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.32

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $60.31
Volume: $6.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $13.3K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$291.79

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $338.05
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $59.31
Volume: $195.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $136.52
Potential payout: $173.91
Potential profit: $37.39
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$23.48

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $135.27
Potential payout: $173.42
Potential profit: $38.15
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $15.27

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $425.15
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$224.17

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $161.85

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $338.05
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $921.2
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $237.54
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.38

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $576.2
Potential payout: $591.58
Potential profit: $15.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $220.48

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $295.6
Potential payout: $300.25
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.32

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

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