Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $319.98 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $245.25
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $6.7

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $371.14
Potential profit: $340.9
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$65.75

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $27.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.3
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $7.7

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 4:20 AM

PnL: $36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $35
Volume: $162.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $110.27
Potential payout: $120.52
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.04

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $109.93
Potential payout: $114.28
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.51

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$108

Grizzlies position

Suns vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

PnL: $32.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $32.59
Volume: $280.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $342.12
Potential payout: $346.8
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $22.16

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $245.25
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $6.7

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.91
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $197.09
Potential payout: $916.71
Potential profit: $719.62
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $41.92

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $193.83
Potential payout: $274.94
Potential profit: $81.11
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $17.66

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.06
Potential payout: $43.12
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $3.58

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will George Pickens play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $38.33
Potential payout: $39.5
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.56

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $30.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $191.68
Potential payout: $234.18
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $14.87

If you invest $100 $122.17 back +$22.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $187.37
Potential payout: $200.5
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $47.02

If you invest $100 $107.01 back +$7.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $29.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.11
Potential payout: $7.86
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.46

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.92
Volume: $0
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on June 21?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.48
Potential profit: $96.48
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Don Lemon charges dropped?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.5

PnL: $26.54
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $371.14
Potential profit: $340.9
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$65.75

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $27.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.3
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $7.7

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.13
Volume: $305
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3.5

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $197.09
Potential payout: $916.71
Potential profit: $719.62
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $41.92

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $193.83
Potential payout: $274.94
Potential profit: $81.11
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $17.66

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $192.76
Potential payout: $245.55
Potential profit: $52.79
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3.67

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $191.68
Potential payout: $234.18
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $14.87

If you invest $100 $122.17 back +$22.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $187.37
Potential payout: $200.5
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $47.02

If you invest $100 $107.01 back +$7.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will T1 win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $178.65
Potential payout: $616.05
Potential profit: $437.4
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $11.55

If you invest $100 $344.83 back +$244.83 estimated profit if it wins

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