Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $711.14 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$57.46
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $174.69
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $26.64
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #25
0xe617...f251
0xe617...f251 Public
- PnL
- $81.59
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $31.95
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Rank #26
libratus1
0x28b2...eb4f Public
- PnL
- $75.51
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $345.95
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.85
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $338.27
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $39.64
Rank #27
George.Smiley
0x2110...5850 Public
- PnL
- $75.08
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$57.46
Rank #28
cozygo
0xdb23...c959 Public
- PnL
- $73.5
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #29
Hiworld.
0x4f23...90db Public
- PnL
- $69.12
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $26.4
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$93.59
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$874.96
Rank #30
mustbethewater
0xc518...2594 Public
- PnL
- $69.1
- Volume
- $2.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $47.6
- Potential payout
- $49.9
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $44.49
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $46.84
- Potential payout
- $90.94
- Potential profit
- $44.11
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $43.99
Rank #31
daddypapi
0x6748...151b Public
- PnL
- $68.66
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #32
avp15
0x309b...02a0 Public
- PnL
- $67.67
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #33
0x765f...1508
0x765f...1508 Public
- PnL
- $65.49
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $205.63
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $155.78
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $196.07
- Potential payout
- $332.33
- Potential profit
- $136.26
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$53.17
Rank #34
0xd32c...a4c2
0xd32c...a4c2 Public
- PnL
- $65.41
- Volume
- $2.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $18.75K
- Potential profit
- $18.74K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$660.17
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $18.75K
- Potential profit
- $18.74K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$660.17
Rank #35
Dios777
0x808d...ebfd Public @Dios_7778
- PnL
- $65.31
- Volume
- $2.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #36
imjustalarp
0x57e4...835e Public
- PnL
- $62.25
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $746.98
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$137.99
Yes position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $969.99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$789.99
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $345.95
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.85
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $338.27
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $39.64
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $319.22
- Potential payout
- $431.38
- Potential profit
- $112.16
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $37.43
Yes position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $205.63
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $155.78
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $196.07
- Potential payout
- $332.33
- Potential profit
- $136.26
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$53.17
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $174.69
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $26.64
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes16% No84%
Market Live
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes7.3% No92.7%
Market Live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes56.5% No43.5%
Market Live
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes33.9% No66.2%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes31.5% No68.5%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes27% No73%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes14.6% No85.4%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes6.6% No93.4%