Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $448.66 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.91

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.91

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.91

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:51 PM

PnL: $48.45
Volume: $1.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.91

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.91

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $46.71
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $45.15
Volume: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $513.16
Potential payout: $513.93
Potential profit: $0.77
User PnL: $42.82

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $510.65
Potential payout: $524.01
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.63

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $44.44
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $44.2
Volume: $1.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $43.98
Volume: $400.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $102.85
Potential profit: $98.74
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $2.58

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $572.8
Potential profit: $568.79
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$47.54

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.69
Volume: $977.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $188.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.5

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $188.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.3

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $42.81
Volume: $632.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $972.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$6.38

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $971.12
Potential payout: $976.98
Potential profit: $5.86
User PnL: $193.18

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $42.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Wizards position

Rockets vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$67

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$174

PnL: $41.49
Volume: $776.44
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665.41
Potential profit: $665.41
User PnL: -$60.54

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.86K
Potential profit: $15.86K
User PnL: -$380.98

PnL: $41.09
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $188.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.5

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $188.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.3

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $102.85
Potential profit: $98.74
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $2.58

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $572.8
Potential profit: $568.79
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$47.54

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $365.98
Potential profit: $364.15
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$10.65

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

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