Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.54K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $205.43K
Potential payout: $246.76K
Potential profit: $41.33K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $61.21K

If you invest $100 $120.12 back +$20.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:47 PM

PnL: $3.03K
Volume: $31.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $24.13
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.39

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $10.5

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.28K
Volume: $11.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $17.11K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$60.64

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $130.39
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$37.48

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $650.82
Potential payout: $8.85K
Potential profit: $8.2K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$349.17

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $103.65
Potential payout: $106.47
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.65

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $408.43
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$184.98

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $67.17
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$34.92

If you invest $100 $1.71K back +$1.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $935.75
Volume: $3.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $276.91
Potential payout: $277.18
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $227.11

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $177.46
Potential payout: $177.55
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $127.55

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $926.15
Volume: $31.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $155.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $995.53
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $69.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.73

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $925.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $628.13
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $666.98
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $61.13

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.2%
Current value: $620.7
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $245.7

If you invest $100 $301.2 back +$201.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $925.16
Volume: $42.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

PnL: $914.23
Volume: $6.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $396.33
Potential payout: $396.53
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $337.49

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $225.62
Potential payout: $225.73
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $109.84

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $894.55
Volume: $30.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $76.66
Potential payout: $79.86
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.79

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.95K

PnL: $869.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $9.56K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.21K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.2K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $9.56K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.21K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.2K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$60.64

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $995.53
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $69.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.73

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $889.94
Potential payout: $918.88
Potential profit: $28.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $22.97

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $650.82
Potential payout: $8.85K
Potential profit: $8.2K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$349.17

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $628.13
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $666.98
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $61.13

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

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