Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.65K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $294.39

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $146.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:27 AM

PnL: $498.41
Volume: $8.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $908.7
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $457.76
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $196.63

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $369.56
Volume: $1.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $650.43
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $718.9
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $126.62

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $488.95
Potential payout: $511.99
Potential profit: $23.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $44.98

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $306.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $790
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $830

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $699.8
Potential payout: $700.15
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $290.81

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $294.39

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $34.7

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.67
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $27.07K
Potential payout: $27.16K
Potential profit: $95.06
User PnL: $380.84

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $146.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $215.05
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $327.34
Potential payout: $872.91
Potential profit: $545.57
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $163.56

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $149.24
Potential payout: $363.99
Potential profit: $214.75
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $68.23

If you invest $100 $243.9 back +$143.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $187.98
Volume: $3.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $429.86
Potential payout: $446.61
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $13.01

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $366.24
Potential payout: $400.26
Potential profit: $34.02
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.86

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $475

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $773.15
Potential payout: $786.52
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $73.15

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $174.36
Volume: $246.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $844.25
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$43.3

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $12.43
Potential profit: $9.01
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.3

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $150.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $823.93
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $74.7

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $821.88
Potential payout: $824.35
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: $529.65

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $142.83
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $422.77
Potential payout: $890.04
Potential profit: $467.27
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $114.34

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $55.06
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $945.97
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$9.98

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $139.47
Volume: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $206.41
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.18K

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $18.17
User PnL: $115.64

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $475

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $66.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $60.86

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $294.39

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $34.7

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

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