No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $353.73K
- Potential payout
- $390.86K
- Potential profit
- $37.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $77.39K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.38K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $626.7K
- Potential payout
- $651.12K
- Potential profit
- $24.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.6K
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $224.83K
- Potential payout
- $240.84K
- Potential profit
- $16.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $85.7K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $2.28K
- Volume
- $11.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $626.7K
- Potential payout
- $651.12K
- Potential profit
- $24.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.6K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $353.73K
- Potential payout
- $390.86K
- Potential profit
- $37.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $77.39K
Rank #2
0xC00837a29D51e8cb51A8cE6C1062F512D9F66ADF-1781787009879
0xc008...6adf Public
- PnL
- $2.05K
- Volume
- $7.79K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $512.24
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $693.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $263.01
- Potential payout
- $665.85
- Potential profit
- $402.84
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $9.79
Rank #3
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $790.86
- Volume
- $18.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $155.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- User PnL
- $154.72
Rank #4
0x686880EEA810Fa9141Be46A1aCec9Eee41755198-1770878625325
0x6868...5198 Public
- PnL
- $783.73
- Volume
- $19.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $106.37
- Potential payout
- $640.8
- Potential profit
- $534.43
- Multiplier
- 6.02x
- User PnL
- $54.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $74.58
- Potential payout
- $478.05
- Potential profit
- $403.47
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $56.99
Rank #5
LMVM
0xc9de...81d9 Public @SravaniMaram2
- PnL
- $702.15
- Volume
- $26.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $201.36
- Potential payout
- $523
- Potential profit
- $321.65
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $192.98
- Potential payout
- $402.05
- Potential profit
- $209.07
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $28.44
Rank #6
Monsterstappen
0x82df...0f66 Public
- PnL
- $574.63
- Volume
- $4.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #7
sleeper-service
0x0484...4830 Public
- PnL
- $567.51
- Volume
- $3.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $483.66
- Potential payout
- $486.34
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- User PnL
- $112.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $386.81
- Potential payout
- $396.53
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $327.97
Rank #8
0x19f45a25608CBF60F63a6BAD50354B74E83BC772-1775501223753
0x19f4...c772 Public @mmmglobalbit
- PnL
- $561.22
- Volume
- $3.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $434.91
- Potential payout
- $436
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- $272.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $306
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $294
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $78
Rank #9
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $559.52
- Volume
- $29.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.46K
- Potential payout
- $10.62K
- Potential profit
- $164.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$46.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- User PnL
- $94.07
Rank #10
vip68
0x8d09...143f Public
- PnL
- $508.78
- Volume
- $37.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.16K
- Potential payout
- $10.17K
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- $54.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.01K
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- User PnL
- $5.04
Rank #11
MunichWeatherFrog
0x571d...4e76 Public
- PnL
- $465.86
- Volume
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 24%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $628.41
- Potential payout
- $674.62
- Potential profit
- $46.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $47.81
- Potential payout
- $49.01
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $38.01
Rank #12
bigbonder
0xdef6...f69a Public
- PnL
- $454.02
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $124.86K
- Potential payout
- $129.72K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.75K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $32.73K
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.58K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $32.73K
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $23.8K
- Potential payout
- $29.69K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $8.95K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.46K
- Potential payout
- $10.62K
- Potential profit
- $164.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$46.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $963.59
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $101.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$20.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $512.24
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $693.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $386.81
- Potential payout
- $396.53
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $327.97
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