Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.71K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $21.3K
Potential payout: $26.54K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $6.63K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.45K
Potential payout: $30.33K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $146.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:10 AM

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $1.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $26.83K
Potential payout: $27.16K
Potential profit: $325.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $149.98

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $26.08K
Potential payout: $27.7K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $306.74

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $616.12
Volume: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.21K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $8.03
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $110.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $485.69
Volume: $4.07K
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $5.13K
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $653.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $156.36

If you invest $100 $112.74 back +$12.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $96.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $60.32

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $309.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.74K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $801.63

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $570
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $450

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $301.58
Volume: $753.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $944.04
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$55.95

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $859.64
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $433.05
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$40.36

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $269.12
Volume: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $10.17
User PnL: $149.75

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $997.97
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $7.03
User PnL: $3.01

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $214.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.45K
Potential payout: $30.33K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $25.37K
Potential payout: $25.47K
Potential profit: $101.89
User PnL: $3.22K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $182.31
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 46.4%
Current value: $357.71
Potential payout: $771.76
Potential profit: $414.05
Multiplier: 2.16x
User PnL: $307.78

If you invest $100 $215.75 back +$115.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $131.07
Potential payout: $936.25
Potential profit: $805.17
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$28.91

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $162.97
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $918.02
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $84.19
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $18.02

If you invest $100 $109.17 back +$9.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $329.72
Potential payout: $757.99
Potential profit: $428.26
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $35.77

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $150.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $750
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $870

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $542.62
Potential payout: $700.15
Potential profit: $157.53
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $133.63

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: $43.61

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $86
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $38.16

If you invest $100 $108.28 back +$8.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $132.6
Volume: $525.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $200.88
Potential payout: $441.5
Potential profit: $240.62
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $125.61

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $149.34
Potential payout: $160.67
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.53

If you invest $100 $107.58 back +$7.58 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $21.3K
Potential payout: $26.54K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $6.63K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $146.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.74K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $801.63

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $5.38K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$49.78

If you invest $100 $130.21 back +$30.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $5.13K
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $653.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $156.36

If you invest $100 $112.74 back +$12.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $96.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $60.32

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

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