Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.87K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $797.19
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $217.42

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:14 AM

PnL: $573.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$52.34

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $455.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $445.55
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $386.49

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $120.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $281.85
Volume: $2.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $575.14
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $0.86
User PnL: $203.84

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $530.2
Potential payout: $531
Potential profit: $0.8
User PnL: $141.88

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $276.34
Volume: $414.75
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $385.86
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 5.24x
User PnL: $126.87

If you invest $100 $523.56 back +$423.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 36.6%
Current value: $83.95
Potential payout: $229.67
Potential profit: $145.73
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $34.74

If you invest $100 $273.6 back +$173.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $255.12
Volume: $2.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.84
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $217.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $797.19
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $217.42

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $214.28
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$70.19

If you invest $100 $1.72K back +$1.62K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $199.7
Volume: $3.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $951.74
Potential payout: $952.22
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $196.55
Volume: $523.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Bilibili Gaming position

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$44.48

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Alliance position

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $36.31

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $189.5
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $909.14

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $908.59

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $169.2
Volume: $3.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $731.4
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $134.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $104.79

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $672.47
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $743.26
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $235.31

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $13.11K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $911.72
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $122.76

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $12.73K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $691
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $298.63

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $11.1K
Potential payout: $12.55K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $90.56

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$52.34

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.59K
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $107.76
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $48.61

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Bilibili Gaming position

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$44.48

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

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