No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $8.97K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $136.36
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $1.83K
- Volume
- $21.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $56.95
Rank #2
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $1.69K
- Volume
- $16.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $80.51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.63
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $975.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25.5
Rank #3
tsybka
0xd5cc...dea4 Verified @tsybka
- PnL
- $964.69
- Volume
- $12.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #4
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $955.49
- Volume
- $17.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $7.12K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $262.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $254.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- $186.71
Rank #5
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $698.97
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $850.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$148.5
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $611.11
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $611.11
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$431.19
Rank #6
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $591.45
- Volume
- $7.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- $79.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $20.85
Rank #7
pedrobueno
0x17e0...fe5b Public
- PnL
- $573.61
- Volume
- $12.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $122.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $111.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $136.36
Rank #8
Lex-tang
0xaa93...0bc7 Public @lex_tang
- PnL
- $559.35
- Volume
- $2.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $308.69
- Potential payout
- $308.84
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $255.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $165.59
- Potential payout
- $166
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $116.34
Rank #9
fortniteplayer
0x5647...de1d Public
- PnL
- $557.37
- Volume
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $122.76
- Potential payout
- $132
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $89.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $106.03
- Potential payout
- $106.45
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $73.03
Rank #10
merz1305
0x52eb...67ac Public @myaicompany
- PnL
- $547.84
- Volume
- $15.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $745.82
- Potential payout
- $11.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$495.01
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $356.44
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$127.9
Rank #11
shamu10086
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $508.53
- Volume
- $8.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.53
- Potential profit
- $57.53
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.85
- Potential profit
- $170.85
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Rank #12
0x702e2cd74357405F24534E2
0x702e...4357 Public
- PnL
- $476.21
- Volume
- $3.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.94
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $815.5
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $16.7
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $122.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $111.7
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $56.95
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $75.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $42.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$14.96
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $850.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$148.5
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.94
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes94% No6%
Market Live
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
Yes94.6% No5.5%
Market Live
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes5.3% No94.8%