No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.01K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $103.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $1.85K
- Volume
- $21.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
Rank #2
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $1.64K
- Volume
- $18.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $80.51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- User PnL
- $823.9
Rank #3
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $991.46
- Volume
- $17.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $7.2K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $180.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $335.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- $186.71
Rank #4
tsybka
0xd5cc...dea4 Verified @tsybka
- PnL
- $964.69
- Volume
- $12.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #5
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $686.75
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $877.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$175.5
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $592.78
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $629.44
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$449.53
Rank #6
Lex-tang
0xaa93...0bc7 Public @lex_tang
- PnL
- $685.33
- Volume
- $3.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $308.69
- Potential payout
- $308.84
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $255.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $183.5
- Potential payout
- $260.29
- Potential profit
- $76.79
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $109.76
Rank #7
pedrobueno
0x17e0...fe5b Public
- PnL
- $618.04
- Volume
- $12.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $137.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $97.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $103.85
Rank #8
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $583.83
- Volume
- $8.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- $79.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $57.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Rank #9
shamu10086
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $508.53
- Volume
- $8.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.53
- Potential profit
- $57.53
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.85
- Potential profit
- $170.85
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Rank #10
merz1305
0x52eb...67ac Public @myaicompany
- PnL
- $488.76
- Volume
- $17.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $751.47
- Potential payout
- $11.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$489.36
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $356.44
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$127.9
Rank #11
0x702e2cd74357405F24534E2
0x702e...4357 Public
- PnL
- $480.33
- Volume
- $3.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.56
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $815.5
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $16.7
Rank #12
0x97abe233a0eB7F3b1A23c6E083892d6D05Baa19f-1722790943967
0x97ab...a19f Public
- PnL
- $475.28
- Volume
- $3.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- User PnL
- $73.87
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $869.55
- Potential payout
- $869.98
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $118.11
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $137.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $97.15
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $584.49
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $136.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $57.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $877.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$175.5
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.56
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes23.2% No76.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.9% No95.2%
Market Live
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes63.5% No36.5%
Market Live
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes97.9% No2.1%
Market Live
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Yes36% No64%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Yes3.8% No96.2%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
US recession by end of 2026?
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes8.5% No91.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes2.7% No97.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes24.5% No75.6%