Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.89K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.3K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $1.78K
- Volume
- $26.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
Rank #2
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $1.08K
- Volume
- $26.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $108.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$19.83
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $973.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.5
Rank #3
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $1.05K
- Volume
- $22.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $165.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$60.79
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $7.01K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $376.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $140.17
Rank #4
tsybka
0xd5cc...dea4 Verified @tsybka
- PnL
- $964.69
- Volume
- $12.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #5
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $852.14
- Volume
- $58.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $39.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $136.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- User PnL
- $88.07
Rank #6
0xfd36...a832
0xfd36...a832 Public
- PnL
- $842.62
- Volume
- $985.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- User PnL
- $847.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $685.64
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $385.68
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $201.6
Rank #7
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $735.64
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$864
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $647.78
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $574.44
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$394.53
Rank #8
tenkiyoho
0x09a8...47c1 Public
- PnL
- $705.13
- Volume
- $14.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.07K
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- User PnL
- $72.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $3.02
Rank #9
anonymous58371
0x7e0c...8b5e Public
- PnL
- $662.61
- Volume
- $31.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $108.66
- Potential payout
- $109.15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $108.42
- Potential payout
- $109.24
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $1.45
Rank #10
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $632.21
- Volume
- $9.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $40.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Rank #11
fortniteplayer
0x5647...de1d Public
- PnL
- $624.9
- Volume
- $4.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.14
- Potential payout
- $89.18
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $56.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $88.11
- Potential payout
- $88.16
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $55.11
Rank #12
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $611.57
- Volume
- $45.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $119.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.89K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $3.55K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.89K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $165.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$60.79
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $7.36K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $7.01K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $376.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $140.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $6.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $103.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
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New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes52.5% No47.5%
Market Live
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Yes52% No48%
Market Live
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Market Live
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes14% No86%
Market Live
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Yes49.5% No50.5%