Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.9K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.3K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $1.78K
- Volume
- $26.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $68.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $65.34
Rank #2
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $1.08K
- Volume
- $26.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $110.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$21.46
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $974.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.5
Rank #3
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $1.05K
- Volume
- $22.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $165.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$60.79
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $383.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $132.79
Rank #4
tsybka
0xd5cc...dea4 Verified @tsybka
- PnL
- $964.69
- Volume
- $12.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #5
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $852.14
- Volume
- $58.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $43.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $132.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $69.26
Rank #6
0xfd36...a832
0xfd36...a832 Public
- PnL
- $842.62
- Volume
- $985.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- $842.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $561.79
- Potential payout
- $985.77
- Potential profit
- $423.98
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $148.47
Rank #7
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $735.64
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$823.5
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $647.78
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $574.44
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$394.53
Rank #8
tenkiyoho
0x09a8...47c1 Public
- PnL
- $705.13
- Volume
- $14.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.07K
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- User PnL
- $72.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $3.02
Rank #9
anonymous58371
0x7e0c...8b5e Public
- PnL
- $662.61
- Volume
- $31.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $108.71
- Potential payout
- $109.53
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $108.66
- Potential payout
- $109.15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $1.69
Rank #10
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $632.21
- Volume
- $9.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $40.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $11.79
- User PnL
- $1.63
Rank #11
fortniteplayer
0x5647...de1d Public
- PnL
- $624.9
- Volume
- $4.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.14
- Potential payout
- $89.18
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $56.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $87.94
- Potential payout
- $88.16
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $54.94
Rank #12
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $611.57
- Volume
- $45.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $119.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.9K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.9K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $165.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$60.79
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $7.36K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $383.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $132.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.37K
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $110.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $68.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $65.34
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Yes18.2% No81.8%
Market Live
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes6.9% No93.1%
Market Live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes56.5% No43.5%
Market Live
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes34% No66.1%
Market Live
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes5.9% No94.2%
Market Live
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Yes94.5% No5.6%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes31.5% No68.5%
Market Live
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Yes4.3% No95.7%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes27.5% No72.5%
Market Live
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes80.5% No19.5%
Market Live
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes81.3% No18.7%