Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $23.06K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $43.08K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.58K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $568.86
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $173.87

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 12:35 AM

PnL: $5.51K
Volume: $16.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $367.96
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $10.15K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $321.99

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $59.24
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $1.91

If you invest $100 $6.45K back +$6.35K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $3.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $16.51
User PnL: $3.28K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $38.12
Potential payout: $81.98
Potential profit: $43.86
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $6.12

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.37K
Volume: $57.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $711.73
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $924.44
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $26.86

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $602.76
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $90.78

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.08K
Volume: $15.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $1.44
User PnL: $301.76

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $0.79
User PnL: $63.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $13.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$692.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.7K
Volume: $362.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $43.08K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.58K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $656.59
Potential payout: $691.15
Potential profit: $34.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.26

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $27.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $74.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $8.73K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.23K

If you invest $100 $125.94 back +$25.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.5K
Volume: $17.86K
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $4.84K
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $543.7
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $239.83

If you invest $100 $111.23 back +$11.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $126.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $30.4

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $6.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.83K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $25

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.5
Potential profit: $316.5
User PnL: -$51.06

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $6.89
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $20.41
Potential payout: $29.79
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.41

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $772.85

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $425.54
Potential payout: $425.75
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $237.95

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $126.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $30.4

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $849.46
Potential payout: $861.08
Potential profit: $11.62
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.61

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $711.73
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $924.44
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $26.86

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $656.59
Potential payout: $691.15
Potential profit: $34.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.26

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $602.76
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $90.78

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%