Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $9.36K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $13.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.81K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $1.71K
- Volume
- $27.11K
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
Rank #2
0xfd36...a832
0xfd36...a832 Public
- PnL
- $1.15K
- Volume
- $2.06K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- $849.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $669.57
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $401.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $185.53
Rank #3
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $1.04K
- Volume
- $22.19K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $14.47K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $532.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $717.51
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $7.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $173.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$68.67
Rank #4
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $973.96
- Volume
- $61.1K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $37.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $137.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- User PnL
- $88.64
Rank #5
tsybka
0xd5cc...dea4 Verified @tsybka
- PnL
- $964.69
- Volume
- $12.18K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #6
tenkiyoho
0x09a8...47c1 Public
- PnL
- $882.06
- Volume
- $15.16K
- Open positions
- 0
Rank #7
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $873.74
- Volume
- $28.22K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $107.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$18.2
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $973.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.5
Rank #8
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $771.2
- Volume
- $46.24K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $113.48
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $9.36K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $13.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Rank #9
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $735.64
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $647.78
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $574.44
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$394.53
Rank #10
anonymous58371
0x7e0c...8b5e Public
- PnL
- $711.92
- Volume
- $33.84K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $108.66
- Potential payout
- $109.15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $108.46
- Potential payout
- $109.17
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- User PnL
- $1.49
Rank #11
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $623.89
- Volume
- $9.68K
- Open positions
- 0
Rank #12
sailor82
0xbbb7...a11a Public
- PnL
- $603.55
- Volume
- $13.45K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $44.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- User PnL
- $65.41
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $113.48
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $9.36K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $13.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $7.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $173.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$68.67
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $7.36K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $383.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $132.79
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $66.73
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Yes71.5% No28.5%
Market Live
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Yes64.5% No35.5%
Market Live
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Yes21.7% No78.4%
Market Live
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Yes24.5% No75.5%