Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.6K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $953.38
Potential profit: $952.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$112.19

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $794.99
Potential profit: $794.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:21 PM

PnL: $790.31
Volume: $29.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $79.02
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.65

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $52.65

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $727.46
Volume: $7.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.02
Potential profit: $493.02
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.61
Potential profit: $264.61
User PnL: -$27.42

PnL: $669.28
Volume: $1.31K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.92
Potential profit: $542.92
User PnL: -$150

PnL: $663.12
Volume: $1.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.36K
Potential payout: $221K
Potential profit: $206.63K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.85K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $13.02K
Potential payout: $13.35K
Potential profit: $327
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $199.94

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $652.06
Volume: $10.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $648.62
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 34%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$146.86

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $632.95
Volume: $14.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $632.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $448.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $930.01

If you invest $100 $131.23 back +$31.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $26.86K
Potential profit: $25.43K
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $260.89

If you invest $100 $1.89K back +$1.79K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $593.76
Volume: $16.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $953.38
Potential profit: $952.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$112.19

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $591.82
Volume: $7.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $80.36
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$19.64

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $38.96
Potential payout: $654.8
Potential profit: $615.84
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$29.84

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $571.62
Volume: $32.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $808.78
Potential payout: $809.99
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: $0.98

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $799.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $0.4

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $568.31
Volume: $129.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Milwaukee Brewers position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.81
Potential profit: $266.81
User PnL: -$64.09

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $79.02
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.65

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $390.32
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$65.19

If you invest $100 $127.15 back +$27.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $448.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $930.01

If you invest $100 $131.23 back +$31.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $26.86K
Potential profit: $25.43K
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $260.89

If you invest $100 $1.89K back +$1.79K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $461.46

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $80.36
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$19.64

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

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