Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.44K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $185.98
Potential profit: $179.84
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $4.35

If you invest $100 $3.03K back +$2.93K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $827.88
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $141.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $55.12
Potential payout: $128.19
Potential profit: $73.07
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $4.46

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:51 AM

PnL: $391.97
Volume: $3.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $461.46
Potential profit: $460.08
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$5.65

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $842.61
Potential profit: $841.35
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.33

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $382.74
Volume: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $367.14
Volume: $18.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.44

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $350.94
Volume: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $57.46
Potential payout: $57.49
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $37.46

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $57.25
Potential payout: $86.09
Potential profit: $28.84
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.25

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $347.53
Volume: $4.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$18

PnL: $332.88
Volume: $2.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $57.35
Potential payout: $86.24
Potential profit: $28.89
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.89

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.2
Potential payout: $56.23
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $16.93

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $323.39
Volume: $20.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $569.97
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$128.9

If you invest $100 $126.66 back +$26.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $422.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $262.39

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $321.95
Volume: $5.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $25.97
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.17

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.83

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $312.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $10.85K
User PnL: -$51.68

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$770.84

PnL: $311.97
Volume: $18.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $827.88
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $141.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $198.93
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $38.55

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $311.6
Volume: $1.36K
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $185.98
Potential profit: $179.84
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $4.35

If you invest $100 $3.03K back +$2.93K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $90.5
Potential profit: $85.52
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$29.82

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $304.31
Volume: $1.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.97
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $6.23

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $29.97
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $7.68

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.44

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $54.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $24.46

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $827.88
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $141.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $198.93
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $38.55

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $386.41
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$7.29

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

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