Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.84K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$249.18

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $329.87
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $3.87K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$239.44

If you invest $100 $1.27K back +$1.17K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $349.19
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$32.81

If you invest $100 $529.1 back +$429.1 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:41 AM

PnL: $320.48
Volume: $1.24K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $99.95
User PnL: -$30.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $149
User PnL: -$49.65

PnL: $308.66
Volume: $1.95K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.73
Potential payout: $50.11
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $44.59

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $46.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $33.2
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $7.6

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $292.27
Volume: $1.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$44.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$85.53

PnL: $286.06
Volume: $13.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.44

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.88
Volume: $1.36K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $982.01
Potential profit: $977.59
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.49

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.63

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.01
Volume: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $56.36
Potential payout: $128.1
Potential profit: $71.74
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $6.36

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.2
Potential payout: $56.23
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $17.2

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $269.81
Volume: $1.23K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.97
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $6.23

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $29.97
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $7.68

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $268.8
Volume: $7.92K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $267.98
Volume: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.2
Potential payout: $56.23
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $16.93

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $56
Potential payout: $114.28
Potential profit: $58.28
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $15.97

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $263.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $349.19
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$32.81

If you invest $100 $529.1 back +$429.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$249.18

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $259.28
Volume: $6.82K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $253.49
Volume: $6.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $36.03
Potential payout: $122.14
Potential profit: $86.11
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $33.79
Potential payout: $34.34
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.38

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $349.19
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$32.81

If you invest $100 $529.1 back +$429.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$249.18

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $329.87
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $3.87K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$239.44

If you invest $100 $1.27K back +$1.17K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $56.36
Potential payout: $128.1
Potential profit: $71.74
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $6.36

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $56
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $58.29
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $16

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $53.45
Potential payout: $60.74
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.07

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

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