Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.48K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $794.99
Potential profit: $794.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:46 PM

PnL: $744.11
Volume: $28.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $63.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.86

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $82.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.33

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $726.81
Volume: $7.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.02
Potential profit: $493.02
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.61
Potential profit: $264.61
User PnL: -$27.42

PnL: $663.12
Volume: $1.51K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.36K
Potential payout: $221K
Potential profit: $206.63K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.85K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $13.02K
Potential payout: $13.35K
Potential profit: $327
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $199.94

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $652.06
Volume: $10.08K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $648.62
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 34%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$146.86

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $648.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $448.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $930.01

If you invest $100 $131.23 back +$31.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $181.96

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $633.15
Volume: $129.65
Open positions: 3

Milwaukee Brewers position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.81
Potential profit: $266.81
User PnL: -$64.09

PnL: $599.75
Volume: $15.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $794.99
Potential profit: $794.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $591.82
Volume: $13.83K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $573.37
Volume: $7.38K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $80.36
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$19.64

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $38.96
Potential payout: $654.8
Potential profit: $615.84
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$29.84

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $556.85
Volume: $19.16K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.62
Potential payout: $100.22
Potential profit: $46.6
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $12.42

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $52.25
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $222.75
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$42.53

If you invest $100 $526.32 back +$426.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $536.13
Volume: $1.31K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.92
Potential profit: $542.92
User PnL: -$150

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $63.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.86

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $82.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.33

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $448.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $930.01

If you invest $100 $131.23 back +$31.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $181.96

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $461.46

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $80.36
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$19.64

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

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