Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.84K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $774
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $327

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $138.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $861.49
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$31.5

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:38 AM

PnL: $197.4
Volume: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $623
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $582.84
Potential payout: $876.45
Potential profit: $293.61
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$73.46

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $197.29
Volume: $709.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.18
Potential profit: $110.18
User PnL: -$1.55

PnL: $195.12
Volume: $44.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $194.58
Volume: $4.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $191.19
Volume: $4.07K
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $183.24
Volume: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $122.14
Potential profit: $83.67
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.61
Potential payout: $300.89
Potential profit: $263.28
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $18.57

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $172.63
Volume: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610.25
Potential profit: $610.25
User PnL: -$311.56

Over position

Auger-Aliassime vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.45
Potential profit: $221.45
User PnL: -$104.08

PnL: $171.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $999.52
Potential profit: $809.61
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $526.32 back +$426.32 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $162.35
Potential payout: $411
Potential profit: $248.66
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$2.06

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $166.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $491.78
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: $141.04

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $474
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $126
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $134

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $166.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $920.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $420.5

If you invest $100 $108.64 back +$8.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $164.54
Volume: $313.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $250

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $854.98
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $225.78

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.05
Volume: $3.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 42°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $919.19
Potential payout: $922.88
Potential profit: $3.69
User PnL: $2.44

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $902.97
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $123.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.77

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $920.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $420.5

If you invest $100 $108.64 back +$8.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $902.97
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $123.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.77

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $774
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $327

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $623
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $582.84
Potential payout: $876.45
Potential profit: $293.61
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$73.46

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62%