Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.44K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $163.97
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $89.96

If you invest $100 $2.15K back +$2.05K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $51.3
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.25

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $167.95
Potential payout: $933.07
Potential profit: $765.12
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $115.63

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:25 AM

PnL: $164.59
Volume: $9.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $41.1
Potential payout: $41.45
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $0.88

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $39.52
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.74

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $163.69
Volume: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$19.22

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $67.65
Potential profit: $53.11
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$7.39

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $155.64
Volume: $438.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $167.95
Potential payout: $933.07
Potential profit: $765.12
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $115.63

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $167.57
Potential payout: $827.53
Potential profit: $659.95
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $140.52

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $155.28
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $142.67
Volume: $644
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.16

If you invest $100 $107.58 back +$7.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $108.64 back +$8.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $138.79
Volume: $2.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $135.25
Volume: $322.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $9.38

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $42.61
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: $2.78

If you invest $100 $480.77 back +$380.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $135.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Horror show" this week? (September 22-28)

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.05
Potential profit: $96.05
User PnL: -$19.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Commonwealth" during the UK state banquet on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$111

PnL: $128.35
Volume: $982.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $123.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.2%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $121.52
Volume: $5.62K
Win rate: 42%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $117.31
Volume: $2.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.35
Potential profit: $48.35
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.17
Potential profit: $130.17
User PnL: -$26

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $39.52
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.74

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $38.2
Potential payout: $38.74
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$19.22

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $67.65
Potential profit: $53.11
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$7.39

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $9.38

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $42.61
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: $2.78

If you invest $100 $480.77 back +$380.77 estimated profit if it wins

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