Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.27K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $9.7
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #73
0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180
0x38e2...2909 Public
- PnL
- $134.72
- Volume
- $2.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $10.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $29.22
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3
Rank #74
BUYJUSTNO
0xb347...a115 Public
- PnL
- $134.29
- Volume
- $5.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $663.88
- Potential profit
- $663.88
- User PnL
- -$10.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Rank #75
ChiliSalt
0x9fe5...4745 Public
- PnL
- $130.8
- Volume
- $4.5K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.99
- Potential profit
- $459.99
- User PnL
- -$35.8
Rank #76
OraculumNobius
0xd25b...9f3d Public @OraculumNobius
- PnL
- $128.05
- Volume
- $22.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #77
0x97abe233a0eB7F3b1A23c6E083892d6D05Baa19f-1722790943967
0x97ab...a19f Public
- PnL
- $126.71
- Volume
- $6.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #78
0x8b23...3ca8
0x8b23...3ca8 Public
- PnL
- $125.03
- Volume
- $923.4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $11.7
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Rank #79
0x6400219CCCC8EAaA22729253111fD6660D20331a-1759869298583
0x6400...331a Public
- PnL
- $124.82
- Volume
- $20.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #80
weatherguru
0xaff9...64ff Public
- PnL
- $123.72
- Volume
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.99
- Potential profit
- $300.99
- User PnL
- -$71.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24.87
Rank #81
shamu10086
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $122.4
- Volume
- $22.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #82
GeniusTrader
0x164c...3e39 Public
- PnL
- $120.53
- Volume
- $3.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #83
hanxue6543
0xd0bb...ec4f Public
- PnL
- $117.8
- Volume
- $171.1
- Win rate
- 66%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #84
antoniosporano
0xcd15...b352 Public
- PnL
- $116.94
- Volume
- $10.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $9.7
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $15.99
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $9.7
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes65.5% No34.5%
Market Live
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes39.5% No60.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Yes4.2% No95.9%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes2.7% No97.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes34.5% No65.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.5% No95.5%
Market Live
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes81.1% No19%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes5.3% No94.8%
Market Live
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Yes13.5% No86.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.5% No95.6%