Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $23.29K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.99K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.2%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $331.13 back +$231.13 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 10:41 PM

PnL: $8.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.42K

If you invest $100 $267.02 back +$167.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.2%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $331.13 back +$231.13 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $10.5K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $369.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.95K

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.48K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $10.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $18.34K
Potential payout: $19.41K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $592.23

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $10.35K
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $797.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.96

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.63K
Volume: $19.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $976.9

If you invest $100 $210.3 back +$110.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $5.28K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $491.04

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 63%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $606.17
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $910.02

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $599.5

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $8.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.04K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.99K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $695.63

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$156.07

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $730.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $524.86

If you invest $100 $134.5 back +$34.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: $73.85

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.59K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.3K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $151.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $46.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $267.46
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $976.54
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $189.94

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $264.15
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.36K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $143.19

If you invest $100 $995.02 back +$895.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $910.57
Volume: $181.47K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $242.46
Potential payout: $252.96
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.4

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $889.17
Volume: $39.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $210.3 back +$110.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $3.89K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $813.86

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $10.35K
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $797.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.96

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $491.89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $155.29

If you invest $100 $105.04 back +$5.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.48K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.59K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $524.86

If you invest $100 $134.5 back +$34.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.42K

If you invest $100 $267.02 back +$167.02 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.