Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.79K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $330.04
Potential profit: $323.93
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$68.81

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $344.73
Potential payout: $13.01K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.52K

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $292.97
Potential profit: $286.7
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$20.1

If you invest $100 $4.67K back +$4.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 11:27 PM

PnL: $568.34
Volume: $3.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $565.06
Volume: $403.31
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

Kansas City Royals position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.18

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.66

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $503.68
Volume: $59.07K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.94

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $491.47
Volume: $13.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.53
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $330.3
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$63.59

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $474.38
Volume: $2.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $446.17
Volume: $12.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $6.47K
User PnL: -$497.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$119.93

PnL: $443.75
Volume: $5.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $8.31
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $4.36

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $292.97
Potential profit: $286.7
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$20.1

If you invest $100 $4.67K back +$4.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $439.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $708.55
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $502.65
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $170.93

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $703.82
Potential payout: $708.43
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: $53.46

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $432.77
Volume: $9.83K
Win rate: 24%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$227.77

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$227.77

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $426.38
Volume: $1.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.56

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.96

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $409.26
Volume: $4.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $178.31
Potential profit: $173.58
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.56

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $390.86
Volume: $10.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $344.73
Potential payout: $13.01K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.52K

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $335.17
Potential payout: $944.14
Potential profit: $608.97
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$25.12

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.53
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $335.17
Potential payout: $944.14
Potential profit: $608.97
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$25.12

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $332.04
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $192.24

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $330.3
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$63.59

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $318.48
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$370.09

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $8.31
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $4.36

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

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