Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $38.88
- Potential profit
- $36.43
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $28.74K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $469.08
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$73.33
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Top Traders
ECONOMICS leaderboard
Rank #13
Adrink3D
0x54e1...9d5a Public @Adrink3D
- PnL
- $4.05K
- Volume
- $24.56K
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #14
0x086934317f099D0279493b3F73A954EE896114F1-1760886777475
0x0869...14f1 Public
- PnL
- $3.87K
- Volume
- $157.63K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #15
tfg50
0x9ffe...8edd Public
- PnL
- $3.05K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #16
ethBELIVER
0x05f6...25a1 Public
- PnL
- $2.81K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #17
neuroplasticompany
0x2458...f8e7 Public
- PnL
- $2.65K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Rank #18
howesr1970
0x4097...88f2 Public
- PnL
- $2.57K
- Volume
- $6.77K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $33.5
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- Multiplier
- 3.69x
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $38.88
- Potential profit
- $36.43
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Rank #19
RewardsMafia
0x3eed...cb2a Public
- PnL
- $2.47K
- Volume
- $1.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $523.2
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $436.8
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $225.6
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $469.08
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$73.33
Rank #20
JAHODA
0x0e5b...a593 Public @JAHODA_J
- PnL
- $2.47K
- Volume
- $205.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
Warren-Buffett
0x4478...02a4 Public
- PnL
- $2.43K
- Volume
- $50.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $3.41K
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $59.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $853.64
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$302.47
Rank #22
0xA806270A1A7A8B18A2409c927B1E08851cE72C7c-1774550295650
0xa806...2c7c Public
- PnL
- $2.35K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #23
MEPP
0x6d9f...9790 Public @MEPPonPM
- PnL
- $1.79K
- Volume
- $13.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $10.71K
- Potential payout
- $11.25K
- Potential profit
- $540
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.23K
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $748.32
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $813.79
Rank #24
0x217f4fAeacE0bD329845C12381d86A14e7F5FB4D-1774259247240
0x217f...fb4d Public
- PnL
- $1.62K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 68%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $3.41K
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $59.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $853.64
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$302.47
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $92.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $392.86
Yes position
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $523.2
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $436.8
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $225.6
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $469.08
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$73.33
N
No position
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $419.38
- Potential payout
- $561.8
- Potential profit
- $142.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$80.62
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