Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $73.26K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $700
Potential payout: $280K
Potential profit: $279.3K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$41.74K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $190.56K
Potential profit: $188.94K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $131.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 11:49 PM

PnL: $9.65K
Volume: $26.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $324.57
Potential payout: $328.35
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $318.68

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $295.73
Potential payout: $354.16
Potential profit: $58.44
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$3.99

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.5K
Volume: $81.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $831.66
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $640.57
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$22.23

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $794.82
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$197.3

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.17K
Volume: $635.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $700
Potential payout: $280K
Potential profit: $279.3K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$41.74K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $622.89
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $776.86
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$34.99

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.11K
Volume: $9.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $420
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $24.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $396.79
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $3.2
User PnL: $96.8

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.35K
Volume: $1.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$164.75

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.58K
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$373.82

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.22K
Volume: $247.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $190.56K
Potential profit: $188.94K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $131.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.76K
Volume: $9.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.66K
Volume: $1.18M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $762.42
Potential payout: $799.18
Potential profit: $36.76
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $59.31

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $686.53
Potential payout: $758.6
Potential profit: $72.07
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $222.47

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610.99
Potential profit: $610.99
User PnL: -$378.81

PnL: $5.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $78

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $86.28
Potential payout: $179
Potential profit: $92.72
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: $68.38

If you invest $100 $207.47 back +$107.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $20.49K
Potential payout: $23.12K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $20.41K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $588
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $363.01

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$164.75

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.58K
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$373.82

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $6.89K
Potential profit: $447.91
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $504.7

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $190.56K
Potential profit: $188.94K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $131.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $106.8K
Potential profit: $105.26K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $714.31

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

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