Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.57K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$156.52

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $40.77
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $6.7

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $34.01
Potential payout: $971.59
Potential profit: $937.58
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$35.72

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 1:11 AM

PnL: $317.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $97.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.25
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$79.25

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $90.67
Potential payout: $188.9
Potential profit: $98.23
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $18.89

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.45
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $20.25

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $75.71
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.64

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $307.34
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.09
Potential profit: $192.09
User PnL: -$11.56

No position

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.9K
Potential profit: $15.9K
User PnL: -$853.02

PnL: $287.6
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $259.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $238.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $54.93
Potential payout: $255.5
Potential profit: $200.57
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $19.16

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $34.01
Potential payout: $971.59
Potential profit: $937.58
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$35.72

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $219.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$2.3K

PnL: $210.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $61.63
Potential payout: $75.16
Potential profit: $13.53
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $17.39

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $57.36
Potential payout: $58.86
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.99

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.32
Volume: $0
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $91.21
Potential payout: $372.29
Potential profit: $281.08
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$10.09

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $87.57
Potential payout: $188.33
Potential profit: $100.76
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $14.12

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $526.32 back +$426.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $198.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $372.37
Potential payout: $430.48
Potential profit: $58.11
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.38

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $368.86
Potential payout: $416.79
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.08

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $198.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$175

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $10.73K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 6.37x
User PnL: -$1.7K

If you invest $100 $636.94 back +$536.94 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $372.37
Potential payout: $430.48
Potential profit: $58.11
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.38

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $368.86
Potential payout: $416.79
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.08

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $217.8
Potential payout: $308.93
Potential profit: $91.13
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.54

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $97.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.25
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$79.25

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $91.21
Potential payout: $372.29
Potential profit: $281.08
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$10.09

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $90.67
Potential payout: $188.9
Potential profit: $98.23
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $18.89

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

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