Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $24.28K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $63.48K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $232.47K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $62.32K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $45.94K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $208.57K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$10.96K

If you invest $100 $554.02 back +$454.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $125.55K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $206.15K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$35.79K

If you invest $100 $264.2 back +$164.2 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:08 PM

PnL: $3.63K
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.71K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.51K
Volume: $1.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $73.31
Potential payout: $120.18
Potential profit: $46.87
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $33.05

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $56.93
Potential payout: $115.12
Potential profit: $58.19
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $12.57

If you invest $100 $202.22 back +$102.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.46K
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $8.53K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $232.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.85K
Potential payout: $10.27K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.24K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.63K
Volume: $4.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $14.94K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $219.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.78K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $119.12 back +$19.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.24K
Volume: $2.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $451.49
Potential payout: $456.28
Potential profit: $4.79
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $411
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $325.29

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $14.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $384.23K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $15.8K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $56.03K

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.45K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.61K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.78K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $208.87

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $188.92
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: -$11.08

If you invest $100 $1.12K back +$1.02K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.76K
Volume: $18.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $120.82K
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $29.17K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $45.72K

If you invest $100 $124.15 back +$24.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $47.42K
Potential payout: $48.56K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.11K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $7.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: $25

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 39.1%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$183.97

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$498.58

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $125.55K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $206.15K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$35.79K

If you invest $100 $264.2 back +$164.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $63.48K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $232.47K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $62.32K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $63.48K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $232.47K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $62.32K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $62.67K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $47.42K
Potential payout: $48.56K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.11K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $45.94K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $208.57K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$10.96K

If you invest $100 $554.02 back +$454.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $14.94K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $219.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.71K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

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