Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $76.22K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $156.78K
Potential profit: $149.02K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$161.02

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $47.97K
Potential payout: $206.75K
Potential profit: $158.78K
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: -$1.86K

If you invest $100 $431.03 back +$331.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $87.99K
Potential profit: $85.49K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$132.34

If you invest $100 $3.51K back +$3.41K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 3:11 AM

PnL: $12.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $135.95
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $4.38M
Potential profit: $4.38M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$70.86K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.9K
Volume: $84.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $14.84K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $165
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.3K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.9K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$430.71

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.25K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $38.18K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $6.82K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15.68K

If you invest $100 $117.86 back +$17.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $35.53K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.65K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $812.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $203.13
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $282.81

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.95K
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $36.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $397.03

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.71K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $279.44
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$246.56

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.6K
Potential profit: $48.6K
User PnL: -$24.17K

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $47.97K
Potential payout: $206.75K
Potential profit: $158.78K
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: -$1.86K

If you invest $100 $431.03 back +$331.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $156.78K
Potential profit: $149.02K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$161.02

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.41K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $142.93
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $236.44

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $902.56
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $239.92
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$11.42

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.22K
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$277.72

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $193.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $336.67

If you invest $100 $108.28 back +$8.28 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.8K
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$3.73

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $14.84K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $165
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.3K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $156.78K
Potential profit: $149.02K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$161.02

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

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