Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.67K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $61.71K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $234.25K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $60.54K

If you invest $100 $479.62 back +$379.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $127.21K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $204.49K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$34.13K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.4%
Current value: $55.44K
Potential payout: $176.57K
Potential profit: $121.13K
Multiplier: 3.18x
User PnL: $41.16K

If you invest $100 $318.47 back +$218.47 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 3:27 AM

PnL: $13.11K
Volume: $21.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $70.6K
Potential payout: $70.99K
Potential profit: $390.42
User PnL: $23.04K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $66.4K
Potential payout: $66.87K
Potential profit: $468.06
User PnL: $8.39K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $32.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $329.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $44.51K
Potential payout: $55.5K
Potential profit: $10.99K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $16.76K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $10.99K
Potential payout: $55.5K
Potential profit: $44.51K
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$16.76K

If you invest $100 $505.05 back +$405.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $283.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $282.46
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $217.55
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $266.83

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $113.25
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $386.76
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $97.63

If you invest $100 $441.5 back +$341.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $379.12K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $17.24K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $54.28K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $18.09K
Potential payout: $25.66K
Potential profit: $7.57K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $577.01
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $7.91K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.62K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $8.82K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $687.77

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $907.55
Volume: $258.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $79.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $79.44
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: -$0.16

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $713.2
Volume: $5.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $60.42K
Potential payout: $106.95K
Potential profit: $46.53K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $13.17K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.51K
Potential payout: $100.02K
Potential profit: $50.51K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $690.7
Volume: $120
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $47.88
Potential payout: $50.14
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.81

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $43.27
Potential payout: $50.31
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $18.11

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $644.67
Volume: $0
Win rate: 94%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $12.17K
Potential payout: $15.51K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$621.97

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $11.06K
Potential profit: $514.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.04K

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $642.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $898.26

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $5.91K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$200.55

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $617.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $127.21K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $204.49K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$34.13K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $62.67K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $61.71K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $234.25K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $60.54K

If you invest $100 $479.62 back +$379.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $60.42K
Potential payout: $106.95K
Potential profit: $46.53K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $13.17K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.4%
Current value: $55.44K
Potential payout: $176.57K
Potential profit: $121.13K
Multiplier: 3.18x
User PnL: $41.16K

If you invest $100 $318.47 back +$218.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.51K
Potential payout: $100.02K
Potential profit: $50.51K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $44.51K
Potential payout: $55.5K
Potential profit: $10.99K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $16.76K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $39.39K
Potential payout: $101.01K
Potential profit: $61.61K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.7% No79.4%

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes73.5% No26.5%