Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.84K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $300.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $116.14
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$60.39

If you invest $100 $2.67K back +$2.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $27.57
Potential payout: $367.64
Potential profit: $340.06
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.84

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 5:08 PM

PnL: $932.78
Volume: $5.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $629.87
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $99.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $360.4

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $836.54
Volume: $1.84K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $757.43
Volume: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $4.66
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $4.04

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $295.65
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.54

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $669.31
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $645.17
Volume: $568.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $20.47

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $17.26
Potential payout: $47.3
Potential profit: $30.03
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $12.01

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $630.46
Volume: $1.56K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $116.14
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$60.39

If you invest $100 $2.67K back +$2.57K estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $31.65
Potential payout: $111.08
Potential profit: $79.43
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.66

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $630
Volume: $90.12K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $599.07
Volume: $5.47K
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.53
Potential profit: $30.53
User PnL: -$7.57

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $556.41
Potential profit: $556.41
User PnL: -$217

PnL: $576.97
Volume: $277.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$268.26

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $982.96
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $103.18
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $161.51

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $561.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.09K
Potential payout: $8.7K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $217.41

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $300.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $559.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $358.4
Potential payout: $362.2
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $151.23

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $267.71
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $2.3
User PnL: $11.38

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.75
Volume: $10.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.26

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $105.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $40.48

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.26

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $105.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $40.48

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $89.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $497.77

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $629.87
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $99.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $360.4

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $232.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $187.5

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

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