Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$695.65
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.81K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $10.59
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $7.8K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $72.2K
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Top Traders
FINANCE leaderboard
Rank #25
meower1337
0x5667...837c Public
- PnL
- $198.65
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #26
gabriellelanger
0x577a...6c80 Public
- PnL
- $194.25
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #27
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b...b4d9 Public
- PnL
- $187.04
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $127.48
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $57.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $448.81
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $89.54
Rank #28
WindsonC
0x76aa...c4f4 Public @Windson_go
- PnL
- $183.41
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $29.57
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $10.59
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Rank #29
TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8a...7699 Public
- PnL
- $182.27
- Volume
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $8.04K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $71.96K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$4.97K
Messi position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $7.84K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$19.89
Rank #30
EeEeeYJ
0x5085...22c7 Public
- PnL
- $180.12
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #31
Sylvester.the.Cat
0x0f2b...665a Public
- PnL
- $176.47
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #32
HerrieDavis
0xac4a...bf1e Public
- PnL
- $171.15
- Volume
- $15.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $42.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $726.76
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $953.64
- Potential payout
- $13.82K
- Potential profit
- $12.87K
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $519.22
Rank #33
cqk
0x7365...64da Public
- PnL
- $168.85
- Volume
- $26.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $109.98
- Potential payout
- $314.24
- Potential profit
- $204.26
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$120.81
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $93.6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $13.93
Rank #34
Started-with-20-USD
0x4388...5050 Public
- PnL
- $165.16
- Volume
- $221.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $151.81
- Potential payout
- $202.41
- Potential profit
- $50.6
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $7.08
N
No position
Will Lime's market cap be between $2B and $2.3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $150.15
- Potential payout
- $164.91
- Potential profit
- $14.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Rank #35
MrBytes
0x88d9...2dd5 Public
- PnL
- $161.6
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #36
thesuperforecaster
0x702b...afd4 Public
- PnL
- $157.18
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
N
No position
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $127.48
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $57.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $448.81
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $89.54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $42.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $726.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $982.76
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$17.24
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $953.64
- Potential payout
- $13.82K
- Potential profit
- $12.87K
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $519.22
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $893.79
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $320.92
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