Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.21K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $27.54K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$11.54K

If you invest $100 $716.85 back +$616.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 1:27 AM

PnL: $327.79
Volume: $78.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $27.54K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.54K

If you invest $100 $116.21 back +$16.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $27.54K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$11.54K

If you invest $100 $716.85 back +$616.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.11
Volume: $305.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Team Bald position

Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $957.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$34.1

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $159.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $743.6
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $758.62
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$69.99

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $502.71
Potential payout: $624.49
Potential profit: $121.78
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $20.7

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $124.64
Volume: $113.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $668.14
Potential payout: $705.91
Potential profit: $37.77
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.96

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

Spain position

Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $627.66
Potential payout: $628.6
Potential profit: $0.94
User PnL: $5.54

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $86.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $86.61K
Potential payout: $86.65K
Potential profit: $43.33
User PnL: $5.83K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $44.7K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $15.3K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $400.02

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $74.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $69.97
Volume: $50
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Barcelona" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $268.52
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: $66.52

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $265.83
Potential payout: $328.19
Potential profit: $62.36
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $62.36

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $56.93
Volume: $534.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $693.3
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $398.51
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$174.59

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $625.8
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$321.49

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $54.92
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $615.55
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $34.45
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.05

If you invest $100 $105.6 back +$5.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $508.41
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $391.59
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $154.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $47.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $398
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $39

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $393.77
Potential payout: $395.94
Potential profit: $2.18
User PnL: $39.48

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.34
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: $24.63K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $17.61K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.61K

If you invest $100 $113.57 back +$13.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $44.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $180
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $320

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $8.16
User PnL: $120.3

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $27.54K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.54K

If you invest $100 $116.21 back +$16.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $17.61K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.61K

If you invest $100 $113.57 back +$13.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $16.07K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $6.07K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $27.54K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$11.54K

If you invest $100 $716.85 back +$616.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Challenge" 5+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $4.39K
Potential payout: $5.52K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $857.26

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

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