Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $8.72K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.4K
Potential payout: $42.5K
Potential profit: $36.1K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$14.85K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 12:32 AM

PnL: $3.91K
Volume: $31.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $36.1K
Potential payout: $42.5K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $14.85K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.4K
Potential payout: $42.5K
Potential profit: $36.1K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$14.85K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $10.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $537.3
Potential payout: $671.62
Potential profit: $134.32
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$5.6

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $286.38
Potential payout: $403.36
Potential profit: $116.97
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $133.79

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $10.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $41.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $292.49

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $10.84
User PnL: $11.13

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $544.24
Volume: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the announcers say "History" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $980.04
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $57.04
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $395.66

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $633.6
Potential payout: $692.46
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $151.81

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $539.28
Volume: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $312.41
Volume: $4.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $378.92
Potential payout: $453.8
Potential profit: $74.88
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $43.35

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $333.44
Potential payout: $341.12
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.75

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.55
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $7.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $266.12
Volume: $10.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $994.37
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $158.24

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $83.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $98.05

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $257.4
Volume: $283.39
Win rate: 52.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $281.97
Potential payout: $283.39
Potential profit: $1.42
User PnL: $257.4

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $58.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $41.15
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $18.35

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $243.59
Volume: $11.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: $4.47

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $532.85
Potential payout: $545.12
Potential profit: $12.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.14

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.27
Volume: $13.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $221.37
Potential payout: $476.07
Potential profit: $254.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$7.81

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $79.42
Potential payout: $934.38
Potential profit: $854.96
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$45.26

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $214.43
Volume: $651.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $26.22K
Potential payout: $26.69K
Potential profit: $467.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.88K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $417
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $383

If you invest $100 $126.34 back +$26.34 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $26.22K
Potential payout: $26.69K
Potential profit: $467.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.88K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.4K
Potential payout: $42.5K
Potential profit: $36.1K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$14.85K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $994.37
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $158.24

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $83.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $98.05

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $41.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $292.49

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $964.94

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%