Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.31K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 9:24 PM

PnL: $3.81K
Volume: $29.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $33.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $6.02K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.98K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $857.73
Volume: $10.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $607.11
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $272.89
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $25.32

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

Belize position

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Belize vs Brazil

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $597.27
Potential payout: $597.57
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $291.24

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $446.3
Volume: $8.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.94

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $385.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$53.73

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $427.95
Volume: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $355.38
Volume: $10.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $977.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $175.39

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $354.53
Volume: $4.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $364.15
Potential payout: $438.73
Potential profit: $74.58
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $41.38

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $333.62
Potential payout: $341.12
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.92

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.55
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $7.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $264.17
Volume: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $183.82
Potential payout: $190.58
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $168.57

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $119.38
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $68.62
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $83.86

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $259.48
Volume: $6.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $258.26
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $130.48

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $251.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: -$3.5

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $231.56
Volume: $796
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $46.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$44.35

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $0.79
User PnL: $0.79

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.37
Volume: $13.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $79.42
Potential payout: $934.38
Potential profit: $854.96
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$45.26

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $45.08
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $276.92
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $5.33

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $977.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $175.39

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $46.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$44.35

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes2.9% No97.1%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes37.4% No62.7%