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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $144.31 MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $14.55
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.23

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $492.01
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$78.86

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $424.2
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $787.8
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $56.17

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 5:29 AM

PnL: $17.44
Volume: $617.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$9.24

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.71

PnL: $17.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $16.6
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $15.59
Volume: $59.73
Open positions: 1

PnL: $14.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $13.93
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $3.75

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $92.82
Potential payout: $123.84
Potential profit: $31.02
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $133.42 back +$33.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.91
Volume: $2.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.27

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $7.74
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.22

If you invest $100 $238.38 back +$138.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$299.92

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

PnL: $11.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $133.34
Potential payout: $225.99
Potential profit: $92.66
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.02

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $68
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.55
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $492.01
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$78.86

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $470.78
Potential payout: $538.03
Potential profit: $67.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $84.58

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$73.26

PnL: $9
Volume: $75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $133.34
Potential payout: $225.99
Potential profit: $92.66
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.02

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $68
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $268
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$92

If you invest $100 $303.03 back +$203.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $92.82
Potential payout: $123.84
Potential profit: $31.02
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $133.42 back +$33.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $89.64
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $20.36
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.86

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.27

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes10.7% No89.4%

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes24.5% No75.5%

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes80.5% No19.5%

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes73.5% No26.5%

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes29.5% No70.5%

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes15% No85%