Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $171.59K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $341.13K
Potential payout: $440.17K
Potential profit: $99.04K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.71K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:48 PM

PnL: $23.39K
Volume: $717.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $341.13K
Potential payout: $440.17K
Potential profit: $99.04K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.71K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $19.56K
Volume: $12.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $15.26K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.65K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.29K

If you invest $100 $268.1 back +$168.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.42K
Volume: $329.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $5.11K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $901.46

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $431.97 back +$331.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.64K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $50.75K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $27.93K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.64K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.48K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $323.7
User PnL: $7.27K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $9.99K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $52.13K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $341.04
User PnL: $6.19K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $140.6K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $77.39K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$10.48K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.48K
Volume: $54.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $220.49K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $552.6
User PnL: $2.4K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $186.28K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $373.3
User PnL: $3.03K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.82K
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.17K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.82K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $140.6K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $77.39K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$10.48K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $68.3K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $24.62K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $41.26K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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