Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $61.21K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $308.4K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.7M
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $137.58K

If you invest $100 $651.47 back +$551.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $82.98K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$68.76K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:26 PM

PnL: $8.49K
Volume: $407.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $389.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$699.24

If you invest $100 $264.55 back +$164.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $308.4K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.7M
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $137.58K

If you invest $100 $651.47 back +$551.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.73K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $267.3K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $100.58

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.03K
Volume: $119.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $630.01K
Potential payout: $631.28K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: $50.7K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $627.64K
Potential payout: $628.58K
Potential profit: $942.87
User PnL: $80.07K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.82K
Volume: $23.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $117.5K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $96.45K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $77.34K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $13.48K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $60.85K
Potential payout: $61K
Potential profit: $152.5
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $11.06K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $844.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $214.1

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.56K
Volume: $22.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: $85.51

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Senegal vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $955.28
Potential payout: $955.76
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $37.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.47K
Volume: $36.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $11.26K
Potential payout: $18.32K
Potential profit: $7.06K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.58K

If you invest $100 $162.73 back +$62.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $9.25K
Potential profit: $5.04K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $150.04

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.38K
Volume: $13.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $82.98K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$68.76K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $57.12K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $113.39K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $12.6K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $29.91K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $230.17K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.9K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $821.43
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.46K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.18K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $799.2K
Potential payout: $913.37K
Potential profit: $114.17K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $139.78K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $30.99K
Potential payout: $31.54K
Potential profit: $551.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.06K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $31.72K
Potential payout: $275.81K
Potential profit: $244.09K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$285

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $117.5K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $96.45K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $77.34K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $13.48K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $82.98K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$68.76K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $57.12K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $113.39K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $12.6K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.73K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $267.3K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $100.58

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

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