Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $63.23K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $82.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $317.34K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $7.32K

If you invest $100 $484.26 back +$384.26 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $164.7K
Potential payout: $420.7K
Potential profit: $255.99K
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $11.53K

If you invest $100 $255.43 back +$155.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $24.72K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $145.78K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.8K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:06 AM

PnL: $9.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $45.9K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.05K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $24.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.35K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.37K
Volume: $5.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $147.04
Potential payout: $210.05
Potential profit: $63.02
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $119.21
Potential payout: $187.73
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.94

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.71K
Volume: $4.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $96
Potential payout: $492.3
Potential profit: $396.3
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.46

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $83.08
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $452.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.12

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $54.47K
Potential payout: $54.66K
Potential profit: $191.3
User PnL: $15.63K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.35K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $164.7K
Potential payout: $420.7K
Potential profit: $255.99K
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $11.53K

If you invest $100 $255.43 back +$155.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $82.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $317.34K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $7.32K

If you invest $100 $484.26 back +$384.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.71K
Volume: $173.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $52.3K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $210.03
User PnL: $6.03K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $37.11K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $325.65

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.5K
Volume: $310
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.48K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $374.61K
Potential payout: $433.07K
Potential profit: $58.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $73.59K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $24.14K
Potential payout: $28.24K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.46K
Volume: $106.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $11.05K
Potential profit: $8.79K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$3.27K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.98K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $24.72K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $145.78K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.8K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.51K
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $120.98

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.16K
Volume: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $198.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $191.36

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $147.33
Potential payout: $224.93
Potential profit: $77.6
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $140.9

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $82.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $317.34K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $7.32K

If you invest $100 $484.26 back +$384.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $45.9K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $37.11K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $325.65

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $36.51K
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $785.56

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.05K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $24.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.35K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $29.21K
Potential payout: $35.4K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$45.17

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

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