Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $107.54K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $78.46K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $686.98K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $47.73K

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $37.72K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $388.45K
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $27.92K

If you invest $100 $1.13K back +$1.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 12:46 PM

PnL: $19.75K
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $204.72K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $22.12K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $11.93K

If you invest $100 $110.8 back +$10.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.27K
Volume: $15.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.01K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $229.04
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $120.13

If you invest $100 $110.8 back +$10.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.97K
Volume: $42.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $23.78K
Potential payout: $116.33K
Potential profit: $92.55K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$12.18K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.61K
Volume: $86.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $29.84K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $89.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.26K
Volume: $179.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $179.56K
Potential profit: $178.39K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $89.78

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.33K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.46K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $50.76
User PnL: $28.87K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.13K
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: $632.21

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $78.46K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $686.98K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $47.73K

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $37.72K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $388.45K
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $27.92K

If you invest $100 $1.13K back +$1.03K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.54K
Volume: $21.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.45K
Potential payout: $32.46K
Potential profit: $16.23
User PnL: $9.38K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.41K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.81K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.8K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $24.09K
Potential payout: $28.01K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.93K

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $374.61K
Potential payout: $433.07K
Potential profit: $58.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $73.59K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $24.14K
Potential payout: $28.24K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $204.72K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $22.12K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $11.93K

If you invest $100 $110.8 back +$10.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.79K
Potential payout: $106.91K
Potential profit: $25.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $78.46K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $686.98K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $47.73K

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $37.72K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $388.45K
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $27.92K

If you invest $100 $1.13K back +$1.03K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $29.84K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.