Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $100.54K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $42.72K
- Potential payout
- $264.51K
- Potential profit
- $221.8K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$15.84K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.7K
- Potential payout
- $198.02K
- Potential profit
- $168.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $493.47
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
alliswell
0x1521...f23e Public
- PnL
- $38.9K
- Volume
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $61.33K
- Potential payout
- $74.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.69K
Rank #2
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $14.69K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $207.66K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $29.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $40.79K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $200.86K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $112.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $45.79K
Rank #3
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $10.94K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 72%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $160.21K
- Potential payout
- $162.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $43.46K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $159.57K
- Potential payout
- $182.36K
- Potential profit
- $22.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $23.61K
Rank #4
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $6.28K
- Volume
- $22.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #5
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $6.16K
- Volume
- $95.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $822.97
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $168.56
Rank #6
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $5.85K
- Volume
- $24.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $784.35K
- Potential payout
- $794.28K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $110.93K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $86.66K
- Potential payout
- $135.41K
- Potential profit
- $48.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $12.62K
Rank #7
Melody626
0xecaa...77a9 Public
- PnL
- $5.25K
- Volume
- $260.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $145.28K
- Potential payout
- $146.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- $59.26K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $138.47K
- Potential payout
- $138.47K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.32K
Rank #8
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $4.44K
- Volume
- $109.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $84.84K
- Potential payout
- $85.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $80.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $19.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $30.68K
Rank #9
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $4.04K
- Volume
- $2.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $97.74
- Potential payout
- $601.5
- Potential profit
- $503.76
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $72.68
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $84.67
- Potential payout
- $282.23
- Potential profit
- $197.56
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $44.35
Rank #10
comon119
0xc3c3...eec8 Public
- PnL
- $3.98K
- Volume
- $241.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.7K
- Potential payout
- $198.02K
- Potential profit
- $168.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $493.47
Rank #11
mildwindow27
0x9f20...12c3 Public
- PnL
- $3.96K
- Volume
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $224.68
- Potential payout
- $225.02
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $224.68
- Potential payout
- $225.02
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Rank #12
hymolu
0x17e3...9ba5 Public
- PnL
- $3.81K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $183.85K
- Potential payout
- $186.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.95K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $55.59K
- Potential payout
- $63.53K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.58K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $80.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $19.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $30.68K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $61.33K
- Potential payout
- $74.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $42.72K
- Potential payout
- $264.51K
- Potential profit
- $221.8K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$15.84K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.69K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $35.04K
- Potential payout
- $42.99K
- Potential profit
- $7.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $640.62
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