Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $115.72K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $140.95K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $955.93K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$5.55K

If you invest $100 $778.21 back +$678.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $94.57K
Potential payout: $460.22K
Potential profit: $365.64K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$135.53K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $392.96K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $302.67K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $51.86K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 1:12 PM

PnL: $31.21K
Volume: $6.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $140.95K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $955.93K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$5.55K

If you invest $100 $778.21 back +$678.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $89.32K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $116.02K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $37.6K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $20.1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $118.17K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $14.6K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.94K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $94.05K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $55.24K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $24.36K

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.86K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $84.67K
Potential payout: $134.39K
Potential profit: $49.73K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $15.48K

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $39.95K
Potential payout: $91.83K
Potential profit: $51.89K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $9.75K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.85K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $102.18K
Potential payout: $162.19K
Potential profit: $60.01K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $10.63K

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $30.62K
Potential payout: $70.39K
Potential profit: $39.77K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.46K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $7.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $509.75K
Potential payout: $510K
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: $255

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $365.64K
Potential payout: $460.22K
Potential profit: $94.57K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $135.53K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.32K
Volume: $50.44K
Win rate: 52%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $46.61K
Potential payout: $115.09K
Potential profit: $68.48K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.65K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $992.5K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.8K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $21.14K
Potential payout: $48.6K
Potential profit: $27.46K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.64K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.38K
Potential profit: $23.38K
User PnL: -$999.99

PnL: $6.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $31.58K
Potential payout: $33.59K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.95K

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.3K
Potential payout: $46.66K
Potential profit: $26.36K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $5.7K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.49K
Volume: $753.68
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $392.96K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $302.67K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $51.86K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $198.86K
Potential payout: $225.6K
Potential profit: $26.73K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.19K

If you invest $100 $113.44 back +$13.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $84.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $15.05K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $34.95K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $21.69K
Potential payout: $34.44K
Potential profit: $12.74K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.13K
Volume: $41.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $637.01K
Potential payout: $638.61K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: $80.7K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $621.32K
Potential payout: $623.5K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: $49.76K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.57K
Volume: $17.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $21.37K
Potential payout: $24.52K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$1.29K

If you invest $100 $114.74 back +$14.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $11.74K
Potential payout: $12.69K
Potential profit: $952.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $570.99

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $198.86K
Potential payout: $225.6K
Potential profit: $26.73K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.19K

If you invest $100 $113.44 back +$13.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $140.95K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $955.93K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$5.55K

If you invest $100 $778.21 back +$678.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $118.17K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $14.6K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.94K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $102.18K
Potential payout: $162.19K
Potential profit: $60.01K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $10.63K

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $94.57K
Potential payout: $460.22K
Potential profit: $365.64K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$135.53K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $89.32K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $116.02K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $37.6K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

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