Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $109.15K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $179.33K
Potential payout: $1.43M
Potential profit: $1.26M
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.88K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $44.76K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $286.81K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.29K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $202.43K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $111.41K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $47.36K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:03 AM

PnL: $38.9K
Volume: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $75.06K
Potential profit: $13.13K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $210.04K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $27.29K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $43.16K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $202.43K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $111.41K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $47.36K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.51K
Volume: $333.9K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $179.33K
Potential payout: $1.43M
Potential profit: $1.26M
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.88K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $44.76K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $286.81K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.29K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.94K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $161.39K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $20.97K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $25.44K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $160.21K
Potential payout: $162.24K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.46K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.15K
Volume: $81.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.38K
Potential profit: $136.51K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.1

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.89K
Volume: $23.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $784.35K
Potential payout: $794.28K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $110.93K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $87.49K
Potential payout: $98.86K
Potential profit: $11.37K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $14.84K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.82K
Volume: $18.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.81K
Volume: $260.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.34K
Volume: $404.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $170.7K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $95.61K
Potential payout: $95.81K
Potential profit: $191.61
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.22K
Volume: $86.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $84.84K
Potential payout: $85.92K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.93K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.25K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.68K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $22.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $31.05K
Potential payout: $117.19K
Potential profit: $86.13K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $585.93

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $14.55K
Potential payout: $14.81K
Potential profit: $259.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $117.89

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.96K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $47.71
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: -$0.14

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $47.28
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $47.28

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $179.33K
Potential payout: $1.43M
Potential profit: $1.26M
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.88K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $170.7K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.25K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.68K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $75.06K
Potential profit: $13.13K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $44.76K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $286.81K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.29K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $43.9K
Potential payout: $44.75K
Potential profit: $850.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

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