Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $43.99K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $16.67K
Potential payout: $1.59M
Potential profit: $1.57M
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.47K

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11.86K
Potential payout: $1.13M
Potential profit: $1.12M
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$707.97

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $110.5K
Potential payout: $260K
Potential profit: $149.5K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$19.5K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:42 AM

PnL: $9.96K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $205.29K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $32.04K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $38.41K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $202.43K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $111.41K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $47.36K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $169.92K
Potential payout: $172.24K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $45.97K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $157.75K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $24.62K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $21.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.87K
Volume: $260.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.79K
Volume: $55.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.52K
Potential payout: $42.84K
Potential profit: $38.32K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $3.81K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $71.54K
Potential profit: $68.93K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.74K
Volume: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $765.33K
Potential payout: $775.81K
Potential profit: $10.47K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $110.13K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $87.34K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $48.07K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $13.29K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.62K
Volume: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $149.5K
Potential payout: $260K
Potential profit: $110.5K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $19.5K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $125.24K
Potential payout: $125.61K
Potential profit: $376.84
User PnL: $10.76K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.09K
Volume: $84.76K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $16.67K
Potential payout: $1.59M
Potential profit: $1.57M
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.47K

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11.86K
Potential payout: $1.13M
Potential profit: $1.12M
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$707.97

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.78K
Volume: $230.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $171.25K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $95.66K
Potential payout: $95.81K
Potential profit: $143.71
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $183.67K
Potential payout: $186.18K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.77K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $54.96K
Potential payout: $63.53K
Potential profit: $8.58K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.94K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $154.69K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $81.48K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $37.25K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $22.69K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $37.27K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$137.07

If you invest $100 $264.2 back +$164.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $109.42K
Potential payout: $110.08K
Potential profit: $660.49
User PnL: $39.17K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $65.46K
Potential payout: $101.49K
Potential profit: $36.03K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $19.75K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.87K
Volume: $493.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $118.6K
Potential profit: $114.27K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $882.01
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.12K
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $757.01

If you invest $100 $453.51 back +$353.51 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $171.25K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $154.69K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $81.48K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $37.25K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $149.5K
Potential payout: $260K
Potential profit: $110.5K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $19.5K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $110.5K
Potential payout: $260K
Potential profit: $149.5K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$19.5K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $36.26K
Potential payout: $46.79K
Potential profit: $10.53K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $7.89K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $22.69K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $37.27K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$137.07

If you invest $100 $264.2 back +$164.2 estimated profit if it wins

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