Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $105.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $138.38K
- Potential profit
- $136.51K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$438.1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.7K
- Potential payout
- $198.02K
- Potential profit
- $168.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $493.47
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
alliswell
0x1521...f23e Public
- PnL
- $38.9K
- Volume
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $61.92K
- Potential payout
- $75.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.69K
Rank #2
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $16.9K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $210.04K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $27.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $43.16K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $199.29K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $114.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $44.22K
Rank #3
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $12.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 72%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $161.39K
- Potential payout
- $182.36K
- Potential profit
- $20.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25.44K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $159.73K
- Potential payout
- $162.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $42.97K
Rank #4
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $6.87K
- Volume
- $23.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $781.97K
- Potential payout
- $794.28K
- Potential profit
- $12.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $108.54K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $87.49K
- Potential payout
- $98.86K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $14.84K
Rank #5
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $6.15K
- Volume
- $88.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $138.38K
- Potential profit
- $136.51K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$438.1
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Rank #6
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $5.72K
- Volume
- $18.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #7
Melody626
0xecaa...77a9 Public
- PnL
- $5.2K
- Volume
- $260.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $145.28K
- Potential payout
- $146.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- $59.26K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $138.47K
- Potential payout
- $138.47K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.32K
Rank #8
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $4.76K
- Volume
- $95.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $84.59K
- Potential payout
- $85.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $80.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $19.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $30.68K
Rank #9
hymolu
0x17e3...9ba5 Public
- PnL
- $4.45K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $183.29K
- Potential payout
- $186.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.4K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $56.23K
- Potential payout
- $63.53K
- Potential profit
- $7.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $9.21K
Rank #10
comon119
0xc3c3...eec8 Public
- PnL
- $3.98K
- Volume
- $241.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.7K
- Potential payout
- $198.02K
- Potential profit
- $168.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $493.47
Rank #11
mildwindow27
0x9f20...12c3 Public
- PnL
- $3.96K
- Volume
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $30.52
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $44.48
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $28.24
Y
Yes position
Will Jalen Duren play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $26.74
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $48.26
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $24.46
Rank #12
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $949.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $121.77
- Potential payout
- $267.63
- Potential profit
- $145.86
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $83.54
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $76.96
- Potential payout
- $97.3
- Potential profit
- $20.34
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $68.12
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $80.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $19.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $30.68K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$90.09K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $61.92K
- Potential payout
- $75.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $44.1K
- Potential payout
- $44.75K
- Potential profit
- $648.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.69K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $35.04K
- Potential payout
- $42.99K
- Potential profit
- $7.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $640.62
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