Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $53.55K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $30.7K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $13.38K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $287.93K
- Potential payout
- $336.76K
- Potential profit
- $48.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $47.04K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
dissidentdad
0x74bf...2a6e Public
- PnL
- $8.13K
- Volume
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $24.78K
- Potential payout
- $63.55K
- Potential profit
- $38.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$7.85K
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Rank #2
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $7.63K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $130.53K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $22.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.53K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $30.7K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $13.38K
Rank #3
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $7.36K
- Volume
- $294.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $178.82K
- Potential payout
- $204.36K
- Potential profit
- $25.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $107.52K
- Potential payout
- $112.59K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Rank #4
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $6.32K
- Volume
- $3.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $497.56
- Potential payout
- $912.95
- Potential profit
- $415.39
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $470.71
Yes position
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $389.91
- Potential payout
- $428.24
- Potential profit
- $38.33
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $370.44
Rank #5
123987456
0x0130...fb49 Public
- PnL
- $4.99K
- Volume
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $141.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.3
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Rank #6
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $4.97K
- Volume
- $309.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $287.93K
- Potential payout
- $336.76K
- Potential profit
- $48.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $47.04K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $268.1K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $21.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $76.51K
Rank #7
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
Rank #8
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $122.48K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $243.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$49.88K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #9
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $3.45K
- Volume
- $5.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $332.63
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $59.15
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $452.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Rank #10
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $3.3K
- Volume
- $37.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $539.2K
- Potential payout
- $542.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- $48.73K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $447.4K
- Potential payout
- $468.48K
- Potential profit
- $21.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $79.19K
Rank #11
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $2.96K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $92.96K
- Potential payout
- $94.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $508.49
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $51.3K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7K
Rank #12
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $2.87K
- Volume
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $81.9K
- Potential payout
- $82.4K
- Potential profit
- $494.37
- User PnL
- $47.8K
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $40.23K
- Potential payout
- $61.42K
- Potential profit
- $21.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $178.82K
- Potential payout
- $204.36K
- Potential profit
- $25.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $130.53K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $22.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.53K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $92.96K
- Potential payout
- $94.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $508.49
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $50K
- Potential payout
- $63.7K
- Potential profit
- $13.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$6.57K
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