Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $106.11K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $40.67K
Potential payout: $569.59K
Potential profit: $528.92K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $5.64K

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $79.54K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $486.61K
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $30.9K

If you invest $100 $711.74 back +$611.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $137.03K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $177.98K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$20.48K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:18 AM

PnL: $20.07K
Volume: $4.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.65K
Potential payout: $41.91K
Potential profit: $26.26K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.54K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$4.99

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.47K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.26K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.97K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $28.72K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.86K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.45K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $348.6
User PnL: $7.25K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.03K
Volume: $587.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $417.77K
Potential payout: $546.1K
Potential profit: $128.33K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $15.27K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.15K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $52.1K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $367.27
User PnL: $6.17K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.25K
Volume: $11.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $220.16K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $884.17
User PnL: $2.06K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $186.09K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $559.95
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.19K
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.47K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.75K
Volume: $7.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$424.99

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.09M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.82K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.48K
Volume: $55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $177.94K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $137.06K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $20.44K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $154.52K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: $12.71K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.46K
Volume: $22.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $37.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $52.03

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $837.88
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$57.33

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $5.87K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $40.67K
Potential payout: $569.59K
Potential profit: $528.92K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $5.64K

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.41K
Potential payout: $214.84K
Potential profit: $207.43K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $4.83K

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $138.42K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $79.57K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$12.66K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $79.54K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $486.61K
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $30.9K

If you invest $100 $711.74 back +$611.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $177.94K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $137.06K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $20.44K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $138.42K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $79.57K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$12.66K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $137.03K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $177.98K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$20.48K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $79.54K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $486.61K
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $30.9K

If you invest $100 $711.74 back +$611.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $68.3K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $24.62K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $41.26K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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