Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.91K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $28.08K
Potential payout: $505.95K
Potential profit: $477.87K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $14.66K

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $69.03K
Potential payout: $511.34K
Potential profit: $442.31K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$31.54K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $57.33K
Potential payout: $413.94K
Potential profit: $356.61K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$37.27K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:59 AM

PnL: $2.78K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $154.15K
Potential payout: $160.74K
Potential profit: $6.59K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.48K

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $119.03K
Potential payout: $159.77K
Potential profit: $40.74K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$5.11K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $200.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $530.32K
Potential payout: $536.49K
Potential profit: $6.17K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $45.49K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $260.43K
Potential payout: $287.77K
Potential profit: $27.34K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $62.85K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $5.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $17.33K
Potential payout: $150.69K
Potential profit: $133.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.59K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $4.14K
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $605.1
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $924.54

If you invest $100 $114.61 back +$14.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $9.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $60.75K
Potential payout: $61.71K
Potential profit: $956.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.12K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $59.15K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $10.85K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.55K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.89K
Potential payout: $53.92K
Potential profit: $26.96
User PnL: $4.4K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $27.88K
Potential payout: $31.5K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $6.23K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $31.55K
Potential payout: $210.31K
Potential profit: $178.77K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$2.01K

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $30.54K
Potential profit: $25.66K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $929.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $260.14K
Potential payout: $260.27K
Potential profit: $130.13
User PnL: $8.72K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $69.03K
Potential payout: $511.34K
Potential profit: $442.31K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$31.54K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $861.77
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $25.1K
Potential payout: $27.73K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.91K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $11.02K
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $7.98K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $850.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $16.29K
Potential payout: $18.3K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $9.61K
Potential payout: $10.45K
Potential profit: $835.68
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $825.32
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $57.33K
Potential payout: $413.94K
Potential profit: $356.61K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$37.27K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $28.08K
Potential payout: $505.95K
Potential profit: $477.87K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $14.66K

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $747.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $5.97K
Potential payout: $24.93K
Potential profit: $18.96K
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: $3.23K

If you invest $100 $417.54 back +$317.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.66K
Potential profit: $153.66K
User PnL: -$514.59

PnL: $744.44
Volume: $209.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $10.57K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $119.9 back +$19.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $5.84K
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.12

If you invest $100 $122.32 back +$22.32 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $119.03K
Potential payout: $159.77K
Potential profit: $40.74K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$5.11K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $69.03K
Potential payout: $511.34K
Potential profit: $442.31K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$31.54K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $63.05K
Potential payout: $72.05K
Potential profit: $9.01K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $60.75K
Potential payout: $61.71K
Potential profit: $956.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.12K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $59.15K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $10.85K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.55K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $57.33K
Potential payout: $413.94K
Potential profit: $356.61K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$37.27K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

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