Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $161.59K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $59.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.08M
- Potential profit
- $1.02M
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$84.55K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $41.15K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $129.03K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $245.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$71.31K
Rank #2
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $40.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $126.1K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $239.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$46.26K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #3
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $15.24K
- Volume
- $53.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $59.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.08M
- Potential profit
- $1.02M
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$84.55K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $45.22K
- Potential payout
- $158.74K
- Potential profit
- $113.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $5.24K
Rank #4
SnowLover7
0xc8b9...b836 Public
- PnL
- $13.61K
- Volume
- $43.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $100.55K
- Potential payout
- $101.51K
- Potential profit
- $964.38
- User PnL
- $27.95K
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $29.44K
- Potential payout
- $41.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $16.52K
Rank #5
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $12.16K
- Volume
- $386.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $31.65K
- Potential profit
- $27.07K
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $359.17
Rank #6
truefish31
0x811b...7006 Public
- PnL
- $11.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $35.13K
- Potential payout
- $101.87K
- Potential profit
- $66.73K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.24K
Rank #7
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $7.37K
- Volume
- $50.44K
- Win rate
- 52%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Rank #8
unknwnfnd
0xbc75...3f69 Public
- PnL
- $7.36K
- Volume
- $753.68
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $199.77K
- Potential payout
- $225.6K
- Potential profit
- $25.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.09K
Rank #9
Warren-Buffett
0x4478...02a4 Public
- PnL
- $7.26K
- Volume
- $36.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.5K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.7K
- Potential payout
- $9.51K
- Potential profit
- $808.63
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Rank #10
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $6.02K
- Volume
- $68.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $172
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $68.87
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $212.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Rank #11
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $5.36K
- Volume
- $117.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $637.65K
- Potential payout
- $638.61K
- Potential profit
- $957.91
- User PnL
- $81.34K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $621.32K
- Potential payout
- $623.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- $49.76K
Rank #12
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c2...2ab0 Public
- PnL
- $5.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.26K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $59.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.38K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $129.03K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $245.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$71.31K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $59.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.08M
- Potential profit
- $1.02M
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$84.55K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $45.22K
- Potential payout
- $158.74K
- Potential profit
- $113.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $5.24K
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $29.44K
- Potential payout
- $41.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $16.52K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.